The Gold price lost more than 3% on Monday and fell to $2,620 per troy ounce, Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Gold is not completely immune to current developments
“This was triggered by news of a possible agreement on a ceasefire between Israel and the Hezbollah militia in Lebanon, which could reduce demand for Gold as a safe haven. Last week, Gold recorded its strongest weekly gain since March 2023 due to the escalation in the Ukraine war, rising by 6% and topping the $2,700 mark for the first time in a fortnight on Friday.”
“In doing so, Gold was also able to defy the appreciation of the US dollar and a further reduction in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations. According to Fed Funds Futures, an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December is now only a good 50% priced in and an interest rate cut of 25 basis points at one of the two upcoming meetings, i.e. by the end of January, is not even fully priced in.”
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