Indian Rupee remains fragile due to Trump-related policies, Dollar demand intensifies
- "Rupee lost all its sheen it had gained on Wednesday and fell to 84.48 before recovering as RBI sold dollars... but dollars were bought again on account of month-end demand and it (rupee) closed lower," said Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.
- Inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, rose to 2.3% YoY in October from 2.1% in September, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Wednesday. This figure matched the expectation.
- The US core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, climbed 2.8% in the same period, compared to a 2.7% increase in September, in line with the market consensus. On a monthly basis, the core PCE Price Index increased 0.3% in October, as expected.
- The US economy grew at a 2.8% annual pace from July through September, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis reported in its second estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
- Futures traders are now pricing in a 66.5% chance that the Fed will cut rates by a quarter point in December, up from 55.7% before the PCE data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. However, they expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged at its January and March 2025 meetings.
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