Weekly waves: Bitcoin bearish reversal plus EUR/USD and GBP/AUD daily charts

• Bitcoin (BTC/USD) weekly chart is showing a potential bearish reversal. The uptrend could be completed after 5 bullish waves up. 

• The current pullback is probably a bear flag (purple lines) within the wave 4 (blue). A break below (orange arrow) the flag confirms the downtrend continuation.

• The BTC/USD chart remains in an uptrend but the bearish pressure is placing it under severe pressure. The higher high was quickly followed by a fast decline.

We also review the EUR/USD downtrend and GBP/AUD triangle pattern on the daily charts.

Bitcoin bearish momentum vs uptrend

1. A 5 wave (pink) pattern seems to be completed. There is also a clear 5 wave pattern (blue) in the final 5th wave (pink).

2. Price made a higher high but the bulls were unable to hold ground. The quick bearish decline showed a lot of bearish momentum. The bearish drop could be a wave A (blue).

3. A new lower low is expected (orange arrow) to test the support zone (green) first. A bullish bounce (green arrow) could test the resistance zone (orange).

4. A bearish bounce at the resistance would confirm that the uptrend is indeed over.

5. A larger, complex bearish correction could take place via a WXY (pink) pattern. In case, the uptrend continues, then it is likely that a triangle pattern will emerge first.

EUR/USD downtrend continuation

The EUR/USD downtrend is strong. The resistance trend line (orange) indicates how long the bears have been in control:

1. The current decline is a bearish impulsive wave. There seem to be 5 waves (grey) developing at the moment.

2. The current pullback is probably a bear flag (purple lines) within the wave 4 (blue). This is invalid if the retracement breaks above the 78.6% Fibonacci level. A break below (orange arrow) the flag confirms the downtrend continuation.

3. The main target for the downtrend is the round level of 1.10.

4. The downtrend could be part of a wave 5 (blue) of wave 3 (pink) of wave 5 (grey).

GBP/AUD in consolidation

The GBP/AUD chart is showing an uptrend with support trend lines (purple) below the current price:

1. After 5 waves up (pink), price is making a consolidation. The correction could be an ABCDE (pink) pattern.

2. The current outlook remains valid if price action stays above the bottoms. 

3. A break above the resistance trend line could spark a bullish breakout and rally.

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The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method simple wave analysis and trading. For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter