袁骏：外汇交易何时进场？两个指标告诉你
12.1 外汇交易何时进场？两个指标告诉你
本期内容
大家好，我是袁骏，欢迎来到见闻大师课《美债&汇率的交易之道》。
指标一：掉期点
这个市场里有不少的交易机会存在，如果不赌人民币升值或贬值等方向性的东西，可以看掉期点。
在讲二次汇改时，我说市场有2-3个月的准备时间，汇率往上走，掉期暂时还不动，过2-3个月再一下起来。这一次也类似，因为背后的本质都是这样。无论是做空的原因，还是央行干预的原因，抽走流动性，掉期点都会上升。
只不过这次跟上次有点不一样：上一次是因为外汇太大，最后推动了利率，使得掉期点上来。这次某种程度上是由于央行主动抽取流动性，使得掉期点往上走。但无论是哪一种，结果都是一样的……
Reprinted from 见闻VIP，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
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