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方正证券:维持上美股份(02145)“强烈推荐”评级 抖音助力韩束全面焕新高增

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高盛发布报告称,维持上份(02145)“强烈推荐”评级,预计24-26年归母净利润分别为9.1、11.6、14.1亿元,对应增速分别为96.5%、27.5%、22%。

报告中称,上份为深耕二十余载的多品牌国货化妆品领军企业,聚焦韩束重兵抖音实现品牌强势焕新,夺得2023抖音美妆总榜TOP1,成为平台首个30亿级的美妆品牌,驱动2023全年营收同比+56.6%;归母净利润同比+213.5%;当前韩束仍处于势能上行期,多维度曲线迭代有望推动韩束走向百亿品牌。其他品牌当前处于培育、调整期,未来将从大众护肤起步走向护肤、母婴、洗护三大赛道、六大超级品牌的领先平台型企业。

该行提到,公司抖音增长势能维持,白蛮腰大单品趋势显现,未来占比有望继续攀升;品牌效应显著外溢至淘系,天猫平台低基数下高增强确定;同时2024宣布将加码线下,线下渠道广阔空间有望承接抖音流量外溢。未来随着投放资源的逐步流入及成熟经验的复刻,老品牌同样有望迎来焕新成长。中长期看,公司践行“2+2+2”战略以及“六六战略”,未来多品牌矩阵放量可期,有望接力公司持续成长。

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