技术分析 – USDJPY接近多年高点
- USDJPY在50日SMA回调后稳定上涨
- 动量指标在看涨区间动能增强
4月底日本政府干预汇市后，USDJPY自34年高点160.20大幅回落。然而，随后该货币对一直处于稳定上升趋势，试图再次触及多年高点。
若看涨压力犹存，则汇价可能首先测试前期高点158.25。继续上行，汇价或将挑战斐波那契161.8%位置的价格159.10（对应图中151.90-140.24）。若成功突破此处，汇价有望触及34年高点160.20。
反之，若该货币对抛售情绪加剧，则斐波那契138.2%位置的价格156.35可能立即提供支撑。继续下行，汇价或将跌至斐波那契123.6%位置的价格154.64。届时一旦空头持续推低汇价，那么5月低点151.90可能提供支撑。
简而言之，尽管USDJPY创34年新高后面临强劲抛售情绪，但一直稳步复苏。因此，随着汇价触及近期日本政府捍卫水平，未来波动性难免有所加剧。
Reprinted from XM，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
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