瑞士央行年内第二次降息,瑞郎应声走低
自3月成为首个降息的发达国家央行后,瑞士央行今日公布货币政策决议,宣布再次将基准利率下调25个基点,至1.25%。符合市场预期。
此前,瑞士央行官员曾经连续静默三周,令市场怀疑其动向,部分投资者猜测,考虑到通胀下行的进展停滞,瑞士央行可能会按兵不动。
不过,瑞士央行最终还是决定降息,该行在政策会议声明中表示:
与上一季度相比,潜在的通胀压力再次下降。
声明发布后,瑞郎下跌,兑欧元汇率下跌约 0.4%,兑美元汇率下跌 0.5%。
有媒体猜测,瑞士央行降息是因为考虑到在地缘政治危机的推动下,瑞郎一直在上涨,需要降息抑制瑞郎涨幅。本月,法国总统马克龙(Emmanuel Macron)呼吁法国举行临时大选,极右翼势力有可能获胜,这进一步推动了瑞郎的涨势,因为投资者将瑞郎视为安全资产。
相比瑞士,其他发达经济体对何时降息依然犹豫不决,挪威官员可能会将预期的宽松政策推迟到下半年;而挥之不去的通胀担忧也将使英国央行按兵不动;美联储在6月会议上反而削减了年内降息的预期;欧洲央行也强调,后续不会连续降息。
Reprinted from 见闻VIP,the copyright all reserved by the original author.
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