技术分析 – WTI原油期货维持在80.00上方
- WTI原油期货自三周低点反弹
- 多头测试7月高点84.50
- 动量指标谨慎上行
自6月初以来,WTI原油期货(8月交割)一直处于稳定上升趋势,但触及两个月新高后84.50后回落。尽管价格跌至三周以来最低水平,但由于80.00心理关口提供强劲支撑,随后价格迅速反弹。
若近期涨势加剧,则斐波那契回调线61.8%位置的价格84.69(对应图中67.97-95.02)可能直接形成阻力。若成功突破此处,则多头或将挑战4月高点86.90。继续上行,或需密切关注斐波那契78.6%位置的价格89.23,即2023年10月提供强劲阻力之处。
反之,看跌行为可能使价格下跌,继而测试三周低点80.20以及斐波那契50.0%位置的价格81.50。若成功跌破此处,价格或将跌至斐波那契38.2%位置的价格78.30。继续下行,价格可能跌至斐波那契23.6%位置的价格74.35。
简而言之,WTI原油期货在80.00心理关口获支撑后,成功挽回短期跌势的大部分损失。然而,价格需突破前期高点84.50才能维持自6月初以来的上升趋势。
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