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技术分析 – EURUSD回落至SMA

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技术分析 – EURUSD回落至SMA

  • EURUSD触及四个月高点后回落
  • 空头密切关注50日和200日SMA
  • 震荡指标恶化,但仍处看涨区间

7月初EURUSD突破下行趋势线后一直稳步上涨,上周再创四个月新高1. 0947。然而,随后该货币对一直经历回调并接近50日和200日简单移动平均线(SMA)。

若汇价持续下跌并跌破移动平均线(SMA),则斐波那契50.0%位置的价格1.0793(对应图中1.0447-1.1138)可能提供支撑。若成功跌破此处,汇价或将跌至斐波那契61.8%位置的价格1.0711。继续下行,该货币对可能跌至6月低点1.0666。

反之,若汇价反转走高,则斐波那契38.2%位置的价格1.0874可能首先抑制涨势。若成功突破此处,汇价有望升至6月高点1.0915以及近期四个月高点1.0947。继续上行,多头或将测试斐波那契23.6%位置的价格1.0975。

简而言之,上周EURUSD再创四个月新高后面临抛售压力。若汇价持续回调,该货币对或将测试50日和200日移动平均线(SMA)。

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