技术分析 – GBPJPY跌至两个月新低
- GBPJPY自16年高点208.10回落
- 该货币对跌至5月16日以来最低水平
- RSI和MACD指标警告市场过度回调
GBPJPY自2024年初以来一直处长期上升趋势,7月11日触及16年高点208.10。然而,随后该货币对一直回落并跌破自1月以来支撑趋势线以及50日简单移动平均线(SMA)。
若空头试图推低汇价,则6月低点197.18可能初步提供支撑,继而密切关注近期两个月低点195.84。若成功跌破此处,该货币对或将挑战3月阻力位193.52。继续下行,汇价可能在190.00心理关口止跌,此处曾在4月提供强劲支撑。
反之,若汇价反转走高,则多头可能首先挑战4月高点200.50。若成功突破此处,汇价或将升至前期高点202.08以及7月阻力位205.77。继续上行,汇价有望触及16年高点208.10。
简而言之,GBPJPY自近期多年高点回落,若跌破关键性上升趋势线则技术面恶化。然而,由于短期震荡指标显示超买,空头理应保持谨慎。
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