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技术分析 – WTI原油遭抛售后挽回部分损失

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技术分析 – WTI原油遭抛售后挽回部分损失

  • WTI原油自17个月低点回升
  • 动量震荡指标小幅走高

WTI原油自前期高点78.75遭大幅抛售后,终于从17个月低点65.70回升。过去三周,油价已下跌超16%,前景转为强劲看跌。

技术震荡指标显示,异同移动平均线(MACD)看跌动能疲软并小幅上行,而随机震荡指标在超卖区间的K值线和D值线形成看涨交叉后走高。两种迹象均表明投资者抛售情绪可能即将结束。

若价格持续上行,则70.00心理水平可能首先形成阻力,继而或将升至前期高点71.30和72.70。继续上行,价格可能尝试突破上升趋势线和20日移动平均线(SMA)。若成功突破此处,位于短期下行趋势线的76.60可能直接形成阻力,即与50日移动平均线(SMA)重叠之处。

若价格反转走低,一旦跌破数月低点可能加剧抛售情绪,届时2023年4月低点63.60或将提供支撑。

简而言之,油价自7月3日以来一直处大幅下跌趋势,只有成功突破前期高点84.70,前景才有望转为看涨。

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