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技术分析 – GBPUSD自两年半高点下跌3%

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技术分析 – GBPUSD自两年半高点下跌3%

  • GBPUSD在1.3100附近止跌
  • 动量震荡指标暗示上行复苏

GBPUSD暂停自两年半高点1.3433开始的下行趋势,目前徘徊在50日移动平均线(SMA)附近,略低于1.3100关口。

该货币对已下跌约3%,技术震荡指标显示下行走势结束。随机指标在超卖区间的K值线和D值线形成看涨交叉,相对强弱指数(RSI)在50中立水平下方上行。

若看涨势头加剧,则斐波那契回调线23.6%位置的价格1.3165.(对应图中1.2300-1.3433)可能立即形成阻力。继续上行,汇价或将升至位于1.3235的20日移动平均线(SMA),届时一旦突破前期高点1.3433将转为看涨前景,并有望触及2022年2月高点1.3635。

然而,若未来数个交易日内汇价无法突破斐波那契23.6%位置,风险则倾于下行,届时交易员或需密切关注斐波那契38.2%位置的价格1.3000。若成功跌破此处,汇价可能触及中期上升趋势线以及斐波那契50.0%位置的价格1.2865。

从整体前景来看,只要该货币对仍在200日移动平均线(SMA)和上升趋势线上方,则维持看涨前景。反之,可能转为看跌前景。

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