技术分析 – USDJPY尝试突破斐波那契61.8%位置的价格153.40
- USDJPY反复测试三个月高点
- 汇价仍远高于200日SMA
- 随机指标和RSI均显示超买
USDJPY收盘未能突破斐波那契回调线61.8%位置的价格153.40（对应图中161.94-139.56），目前正尝试挑战三个月高点153.90。
该货币对仍远高于200日移动平均线（SMA），但势头疲软。相对强弱指数（RSI）在70附近水平盘整，而随机指标在超买区间的K值线和D值线形成看跌交叉。两者均表明短期内看涨模式可能结束。
若汇价成功突破三个月高点153.90，则前期高点155.20可能形成阻力，继而汇价或将触及窄幅区间158.85-160.20。
若空头推动汇价跌破200日移动平均线（SMA），则可能初步测试斐波那契50.0%位置的价格150.75，即与20日移动平均线（SMA）重叠之处。继续下行，汇价或将在斐波那契38.2%位置的价格148.10处暂时止跌。
综上所述，USDJPY在过去一个半月上涨逾10%，短期前景转为看涨。然而，若汇价跌破146.50-147.15支撑区间，则可能支持中期看跌前景。
Reprinted from XM，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
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