继续看涨,等待市场反转
#NAS100USD#
上周CPI\PPI数据均不如预期,显示通胀有抬头迹象,可能影响加息进程。但市场却没有大幅下跌,价格在21432以上,得到了有效的支撑。市场的表现反应出空方并没有意愿在此时入场,和我之前的预期一致,市场保持涨势,突破前高,在周五达到目标点位,先后突破21968和22100两个关口。
目前在没有技术面市场反转信号前,下周整体仍然看涨,下一个价格目标在22465,需要关注价格在22300~22465之间的具体表现,进一步判断市场方向。
从长期角度观察,我仍然认为美国科技股估值过高,诸多风险因素均可触发科技股下跌,且此次回调空间可能较高。具体观点可参考之前,2025年2月3日~7日的简评。因此当前做多单时,需要随时关注市场风向变化,市场随时可能转向。我会等待4小时图上的技术确认信号,在市场出现反转信号时,入场做空。
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