1、外汇
法国议会选举主要体现在对汇市的影响上,尤其是欧元。马克龙所在政党若以压倒性多数优势取得胜利,短线将提振欧元上涨,欧元兑美元可能有望再度上探至1.1220上方;若较小的优势,欧元对此的反应或不敏感。若没能取得多数席位,欧元将会大跌百点,下方支撑关注1.1022、1.0950,不过此种情景概率较小。
欧元的波动将会波及到其他货币对的走势上,目前而言这一外溢效应或不明显,除非议会选举出现意外情况,英镑兑美元上方关键阻力位在1.2977,下方重要支撑在1.2634。
在法国议会选举第一轮结果出炉后,欧元对此并没有什么大的反应,这就预示了如果不出意外,欧元可能不会出现大的波动。
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