#followme交易晒单#从小我们在宣扬奇迹的舆论环境里长大。所谓奇迹,本质上就是小概率事件。过度的奇迹式宣传使得我们对小概率事件的认知发生了偏差。大部分人对自己的运气过度自信。一个显而易见的例子是,明明中六合彩是一个典型的小概率事件,但依然每天仍有成千上万的人趋之若鹜。
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