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美元/日元 美国就业数据不佳,美元/日元跌至 108.64,但上周收盘持平,维持在 109.00 关口紧上方。日元未受美元走强影响,维持震荡,美国国债收益率波动不大,10年期美国国债收益率整理于2.95%。本周将公布日本央行会议纪要,但继日本央行维持利率不变后,料市场将不会出现较大波动。市场将担忧中美贸易摩擦,料日元或将获得支撑。技术面来看,日图显示继美元/日元受阻于200DMA,维持在心理关口110.00附近,美元/日元有望进一步下跌,技术指标自超买回撤,只要美元/日元维持在3月以来的日上升趋势线的上方,目前该水平处在108.30附近,汇价下跌可视为整理。4小时图显示汇价接近向上的100SMA,目前该水平处在108.40附近,同时技术指标继短期整理处在消极区域后恢复下行,表明汇价倾向于下行。 支撑位:108.95 108.60 108.35 阻力位:109.50 109.85 110.05

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