$XAG/USD$ 目前来看，随着黄金持续低位交投，日线图布林带上轨勾头向下完成缩口，K线受布林带中轨压制向下运行，触及下轨1236支撑后企稳反弹，MA5、MA10低位粘合，附图MACD快慢线低位粘合有向上金叉趋势，红色动能持续收平，指标中性偏弱；4小时图来看，随着黄金连续的破位下跌，布林带再次开口，K线受布林带中轨压制一度刺破下轨支撑，随后超跌反弹运行至MA5附近，MA5、MA10低位粘合有金叉向上趋势，附图MACD绿色动能持续缩减粘合0轴，指标呈中性，底部出现超跌信号，黄金有反弹需求。
综合来看，虽然黄金日线形态依然偏弱，但已不在那么纯粹。首先，日内黄金虽然跌破周初低点1238一线支撑，但也是小幅刺破后在1236一线止跌反弹，而1236正是上一反弹波段的起涨点位置，这一关键支撑的有效存在是黄金多头的最后一个保险；其次，从周线级别来看，黄金自2015年底以来的1046-1122震荡上行趋势支撑延伸位正好在1236一线，支撑强劲；最后，黄金小时线、4小时线均出现超跌信号，企稳反弹需求较强。所以，目前黄金处于底部支撑附近，我们短线高空的同时也不要错过抄底机会！
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