自从美联储2009年启动QE以来，美股涨幅已经接近4倍，牛市持续超10年。此次美股的大跌，从技术形态上看，已经形成破位之势，未来估计会延续惯性下跌，而且跌幅不容乐观。但从基本面而言，目前美股和08年时相比还是有较大不同。当前大跌仍然属于技术性调整，是美联储紧缩货币引发的估值修复。美国经济目前仍然较为健康，和08年金融危机时不可同日而语，不存在市场崩盘的可能。从调整时间上看，估计次轮调整要等到19年下半年才可能真正企稳，届时美联储加息已经达到中性利率，流动性紧缩会有所缓和。当前，投资者仍然可以利用股指CFD等产品做空美股。
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