黄金:上周国际贸易的担忧情绪是主导金市走向的最主要的因素,同时美国通胀的变化以及美联储降息预期的走向也是市场关注的重点。不过因近期市场对于黄金的看多意愿不强,尽管支撑黄金的因素较多,但是黄金本周交投于1277/1292窄幅区间。全球关注中美贸易局势,此前刘-鹤再度赴美谈判,而美国加税“留有余地”,对周五前离港的中国货物不会收关税,一旦谈判达成,关税或不会生效。市场逐渐消化风险,周五A-股及美股收涨,避险资产承压,使得金子的上涨受到一定的阻力,预期本周将是震荡上行的行情。
黄金思路:4小时看;布林线收口,KDJ重新结成金叉,MACD死叉信号减弱,但之前的相对高位“吞没”看空信号仍在,短线走势变数较大;留意布林线轨道1279-1288区域突破情况。若上破1288附近阻力,则有望打开新的上涨空间;进一步阻力分别在1295和1300附近。短线思路诚功建议以回调做多为主。上方重点关注1291-1293阻力,下方短期关注1279-1281支撑。中长线可在83附近继续铺多单,目标看1309-1325附近。行情实时变化,有对进点位把握不好或者大方向看不清及単子被套的朋友,可以直接找“钱诚功”!
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