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原油:上周油价总体交投于60至63美元区间内,因市场多空因素交杂。一方面因国际贸易的紧张局势令市场担忧或对原油需求产生不利影响,但是另一方面,因美伊对抗升级导致伊朗原油出口进一步受阻,与此同时,俄罗斯因为油管污染的问题尚没有恢复原油的输送,导致俄罗斯也出现了产量的下降,此外沙特方面在增产上持观望立场,加剧了全球原油供给紧缺的趋势,因此油价维持震荡走势。本周一(5月13日)亚市盘初,国际油价走疲,因俄罗斯逐步恢复经Druzhba管道向欧洲客户供应石油。但波斯湾地区不断趋紧的地缘形势,可能成为引发新一轮石油供给不稳定的爆点。在经历了动荡的一周后,尽管中美双方在最后时刻努力挽救贸-易协议,但投资者担心两国可能会陷入一场旷日持久的痛苦贸-易摩擦。   国际贸-易局势的缓解也给油价提供支撑,俄罗斯方面供给受阻也给多头提供信心,短线油价下行风险有所降低。

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