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反向是一个纯粹的交易策略,对比正向交易,难度降低了很多,赢利概率则提升了不少。 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 我之前说反向是趋势策略,其实这么想来不是很准确。反向应该是周期策略,并且把不同的周期一分为三:横盘窄幅震荡、宽幅震荡、单边,而反向的赢利占据整个周期的三分之二,亏损范围是三分之一。但是有一个很令人纠结的问题,无论是什么品种,它震荡或者横盘的时间永远是多余宽幅或极限行情的。所以也导致了做反向的朋友,更多的时间是在小幅度的损耗中。另外,从期货反跟单内部做一个分析,盘手的应用周期、交易规则,也是直接的对行情做了一个匹配。还有就是,震荡中的交易频率以及在震荡中我们所承担的损耗范围,或者说宽幅等极限行情中我们能够吃到的空间是否全部。跟随的倍数、跟随的盘手人数、佣金的水平、品种的流动性这都是我们在反向周期中需要不断优化、不断考量的细节性问题。

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