一个有意思的话题,小伙伴们是否还记得,今年年初的时候,黄金一路拉涨到1348一带,然后一路狂跌。当时是对美联储年内不会加息的猜测越演越烈,而推高黄金,当涨到1348时,隔日,美联储发文表示,2019还会加息一次,黄金大跌。当时美国的经济面相当的强悍,失业率历史低位,非农一直在创新高。反观这次由1344发起的这波强势上涨。美联储明确年内不会加息,而且有大概率会降息,美国的经济基本面出现疲态,如果衰退的过重会导致美元的量化宽松,中东乱局加重。这两次的基本面有翻天的变化。这个时候过份的看空黄金,我认为是没有道理的。至少是对客户的不受责任。
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