美日Outlook
每日枢轴: (S1) 107.99;(P) 108.13;(R1) 108.33;
此时美元/日元的盘中偏置保持中性。上行,突破108.37将延长反弹从106.78再次上升,可能通过108.99阻力。下一个低点,107.21点将从108.99点继续下跌至106.78点低点。决定性突破将从112.40恢复整体下跌。
从大局来看,从118.65(2016年12月)开始的下降仍在进行中,配对仍停留在长期下跌通道内。突破104.62点,目标为100点,从114.54点到100.51点,为118.65至104.62。目前,我们预计在98.97(2016年低点)上方的强劲支撑将遏制下行带来反弹。在任何情况下,需要突破112.40,以中期看涨的第一个严重迹象。否则,在反弹的情况下,进一步下跌仍将有利。
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