对于非农,如何看?
1:本月非农预期18.3万,而上月只有12.8万公布值,但上月好于前一月8.9万,所以非农公布后,行情快速探底,但由于前期走势上升,形成典型的探底回升。
2,本月ADP小非农利多金银,预期14万,而实际只有6.7万,偏差有点大,上月ADP重合非农,那么本月也需要关注这个叠加。按照ADP预期来说,超过18.3万的预期还是较难,甚至可能不大,这就意味着一定低于预期。
而能否能高于上月,这也是一个重点。假如双低,低于预期,低于上月,对黄金将是一个加速器,前期本身易涨难跌,而一旦非农利多黄金,大幅度上升就很容易了。而如果低于预期,高于上月,非农走冲高回落的概率较大。但从这两点来看,行情今日不管如何,应该是先冲一下。
黄金建议:
闲不住的朋友小仓位:
1:现货黄金:1472附近多,止损468,目标看1478-1480
2:美黄金:1477附近多,止损1473,目标看1485
非农做具体规划安排实时操作方向!#XAU/USD#
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