由于行情异常突出,汇率主旨与技术发挥存在明显刺激与操作手法的关联,正常与非常逻辑间的娴熟与恐慌对比明显,进而货币走势具有较强的节奏自然以及政策效应的双重助推效果。预计本周市场相对正面因素占主,尤其美国刺激经济计划实施的效应将备受关注。虽然疫情冲击继续扩大,但市场指标对心理安逸的抚慰必将对恐慌有所抑制,市场极端行情之后的修复性常态将逐渐回归经济面的侧重。尽管美指下行意向明显,但欧洲事态或有突发因素搅扰,欧系货币阻隔美元贬值可能较大,货币与资产、商品组合效应将错综复杂,美元寻机待发贬值拭目以待。
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