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油市形势尽管仍然动荡,但由于USO和其他机构已基本实行展期措施(全球最大商品指数标普GSCI指数4月28日也提前将WTI原油6月合约调整至7月合约),清空6月合约,建仓远月合约。从资金流向来看,被动型ETF抛售带来的短期风险似乎已得到充分降低。近期不稳定的油价走势凸显出被动型基金对商品和金融市场的影响力日益增强。在过去的十年中,商品ETF的兴起导致散户参与度激增,之前散户一般很难进入商品期货市场,因为门槛较高。今年以来,由于油价持续跌至多年地位,原油ETF的投机兴趣急剧上升。USO的净资产从年初的12亿美元飙升至超过35亿美元。

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