李亦合:小非农之后还有初请,黄金为何反转?
今天晚上还有一个重磅数据——初请,上周初请数据录得下降,黄金一度直线跳水20美元。虽然初请人数近几周一直在下降,过去六周美国初请失业金人数分别录得328.3万、664.8万、660.6万、524.5万、442.7万和383.9万,自攀上660万的高峰后便整体呈递减趋势,但实际数据相当惊人。合计超过3000万人申请失业救济也就意味着,16%的美国劳动力存在就业困难。潜在的也就证明了经济想要快速的复苏还有很大困难,对于黄金这个避险商品来说就是个小幅利好。不要说我死多头,我只是周期比你们看的远罢了。
技术面看,我之前提到过1660这个点位,这个点位其实是本周非农数据的防守点,是的,你没看错,我的预期非农也会来一波先跌后涨,下方的强弱分水岭就在1660。
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