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20200803 日内交易策略 本周五公布非农数据,从预期来看可能提振美元。 黄金本周重点关注两种可能性。一种是延续上涨状态冲击2000关口;另一种是否形成1940-1990区间的高位震荡行情。 基本面上,美国新增1.3万亿美元的放水新计划将让通胀预期走高,继续打压实际利率,这是利多黄金的。此外还要关注中美摩擦的进展情况,从断交容易建交难的规律以及美国选举进程看,短期内中美关系难以缓和,这也利多黄金。日内重点关注1980及1965两个转换点位。 欧元多头的拥挤持仓,虽然月图一根大阳拔地而起,但是没有更多基本面的支撑,欧元并没有大幅上涨的逻辑,同样,美元也没有大幅下跌的逻辑。因此本周应谨慎低多操作。 因美指在技术上初见止跌回弹迹象,所以本周对于非美货币的走势也要多加防范,防范非美货币出现技术性的抛压调整。 油价保持震荡,建议短线操作。

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