欧元兑美元十二个月目标下看1.16;丹麦丹斯克银行预计,欧元兑美元在十二个月内将跌至1.16,由此得出的结论是,美国经济表现已经开始支持美元走强,看到了明显的迹象,主要新兴市场国家的“顺风”逐步放缓,对欧洲的冲击可能比对美国的影响更加,因此美国有可能从2021年下半年开始复苏,并在年底实现全面复苏;美联储已经开始讨论何时或是否结束资产购买,因为对下半年经济可能快复苏的预期正在上升;与此同时,欧洲央行不太可能改变货币政策,如果预期与未来政策利率路径之间的分歧继续存在,人们应该预计美元将走高,预计一到三个月后欧元兑美元将达到1.22,短期风险将得到平衡,此外预计欧元兑美元在下半年将走低,十二个月目标为1.16
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