按当前美国利率前景，10年期美债收益率公允价值在1.71%；①法国巴黎银行驻东京的策略师Yusuke Ikawa在报告中称，当前美国利率上升的预期使1.71%成为10年期美债收益率的公允价值；②OIS市场反映的联邦基金利率路径与上周基本相当，即美国将在从现在起的一年半后加息，每年加息两次，每次25个基点；③如果10年期国债的收益率在年底前升至2％以上，则表明每年的加息步伐需要加快到3-4次；每年加息的步伐将是决定美国收益率的关键，而且将于今年晚些时候发布的美联储2024年点阵图将变得更加重要
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