金价窄幅运动,变盘窗口即将临近
上周黄金窄幅波动,收一带有上影线的小阳线,成交量有所萎缩,白银同样收一带有上引线的小阳线。
消息面本周关注FOM大佬的讲话,欧洲央行拉加德和周五非农就业数据,料给平淡的市场带来一丝涟漪。
技术上:黄金日线急跌之后反弹修正,维持176-1795窄幅震荡,目前均线向下发散,MACD在0轴下方运行,空头动能有所减弱,但仍处于弱势区域。KDJ钝化。H4图,金价macd指标逼近0轴多空分水岭。反弹动能仍未结束,但有所减弱,KDJ钝化,均线粘合偏上,趋势通道走平。
白银周线级别出现钝化背离结构,一直高位震荡运行,有构筑多重顶的结构,短期无法有效加速创新高,后市大概率是震荡回落修正的,不出所料会有一波急跌。短期关注25.5支撑,破位之后加速下跌,预期会测试23.8一线。
综上所述:金价中期震荡回落的趋势不变,短期会有反复,关注1795和1760的突破情况,操作上仍以逢高看空为主,低位博多为辅。耐心等待,静待花开。
操作上:1788-95分批轻仓博空,止损1803上方,目标1767,1760,1742.纸黄金,371-373轻仓看空,止损375上
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