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上周初黄金即大幅回落调整,后半周行情虽震荡,但主趋势依然是偏弱的,周线最终收得一实体饱和阴线,贯穿跌破多条均线,周K线结构存在明显的看跌调整预期,未来1-2周行情下跌预期也会有所增加。目前市场对于美联储缩减购债预期也逐步加强,市场也将期待下周美联储利率决定公布,时间点也迎合黄金继续下调预期,未来黄金下方的前期小低点1750、20周均线1730以及前期低点1680附近都有可能成为波段级别的回调目标。 日线结构上,上周初行情大幅回落调整,结束前期持续三周的异常震荡回升,且也几近回吐了异动回升空间。后半周行情持续三日震荡,多空反复争夺,但终未能翻上均线带上,日线结构如预期形成“下跌中继”形态,这也增加了行情进一步回落调整的预期。按照下跌中继形态预期,本周先关注震荡区间1800-1780争夺,上方只要不站回到1800之上,就继续持看调整预期。下破则再看1770附近,即前期异动上涨的起点,以及日线级别首个区间下沿支撑,进一步下跌调整则可看1760-50区域,从下跌中继形态来测算,第二波下跌目标也在1750附近,所以可将此位视作为本周重点关注支撑。 操作建议: 1,黄金回落1780-1783多,止损1775,目标1800 2,黄金反弹1793-1795空,止损1800,目标1770

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