智库分析 - 晚盘10/20
商品价格不停歇,惊动多国决策层
黄金方面:印尼总统佐科周二(10月19日)表示,该国正计划对所有大宗商品原材料出口“踩刹车”。
技术面:熟悉的配方熟悉的味道,昨日(10月19日) 欧盘上涨美盘下跌,今早开盘截至目前,似乎在重复着昨日走势。接下来的问题是,今天美盘时间是跌还是涨。日线图看,过去5个交易日形成既有黄昏之星又有早晨之星的组合,暗示震荡格局。上方压力1784/1789美元,日内多空分界1769美元。
原油方面:本周以来油价出现上涨乏力迹象,令之前看空的投资者认为做空油价的机会来了。考虑到全球原油市场去库存的趋势暂未改变,在没有确定的宏观层面下行风险前,油价大幅回落的可能性较小。
技术面:加上上周五(10月15日) 和今天的"上半场”高位横盘历时近4个完整交易日,油价要走弱从技术指标上看,13日均线作为多头的堡垒依然稳固,MACD在油价横盘整理之际正加速修复背离。整体而言,多头力量未有明显变弱。下方支撑80.40美元。
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