英国央行(BOE)在5月持续升息、缩表以阻挡通胀持续升温,但关注其第一季GDP年增率(8.7%),可发现虽然在低基期基础下有不错的表现,但仍低于市场预期,值得注意的是,英国已于第一季全面经济解封,但占比超过6成的民间消费季增率仅有0.6%,可见高通胀正逐步侵蚀人民的购买力,且根据英国所公布的4月消费者物价指数年增为9%,是自上世纪80年代末英国官方开始调查以来的最高水准,在IMF 4月的报告当中,预测英国在2023年的经济成长率尚有1.2%,但其表现将垫底所有先进国家。面对如此重的经济下行压力、通胀高涨,英国央行是否能顺利收紧货币政策,仍待观察。
#英镑迎来过山车行情# #英镑要雄起吗# #GBP/USD# #CPT.Markets# #CPTMarkets#
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