欧元兑美元周一收盘大幅冲高后,今日开盘涨至1.0666,由于德国5月商业指数利好,伴随美元下滑,使得欧元上行支撑。
周一欧洲央行行长拉加德表示,到9月底欧洲央行可能让关键利率脱离负值区域,并可能进一步加息。拉加德认为基于目前的预测,在欧元区通胀处于纪录高位之际,拉加德的发言加速了央行政策立场的转变,很可能在第三季末退出负利率政策。原先排除欧央今年加息的可能性,至今已开始有政策方向的鹰派转变。而市场目前预计今年欧洲央行将加息110个基点,这意味着从7月开始的每一次政策会议上加息幅度都将超过25个基点。
昨日财经事件数据方面,德国Ifo经济研究机构公布5月各项商业指数普遍利好,包含景气指数比预期上升至93、预期指数上升至86.9及现况指数上涨至99.5,反映出企业对未来市场经济活动前景看好。
从上行方向来看,上方压制(上方阻力) 1.0660,1.0700;从下行方向看,下方支撑1.0620。
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