#XAU/USD# 政府对家庭和企业能源关税实施上限意味着通胀不太可能在2023年初升至经济学家预计的15%以上。然而,这些上限——加上可能对就业、企业利润和潜在的购房减税——总计超过1500亿英镑的经济刺激措施,可能会促使英国央行在来年加息幅度超过此前预期,尽管高通胀仍将对生活水平造成巨大压力。
Investec经济学家Sandra Horsfield说:“尽管即将到来的冬季经济衰退的直接风险降低了,但大量的财政刺激增加了高通胀持续更长时间的风险——因此最终可能需要英国央行大幅收紧政策。
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