#XAU/USD# 美联储本周将一如预期加息50个基点的可能大于50%,在2023年的前两次会议上将各小幅加息25个基点,并于3月在5%下方停止升息。摩根士丹利首席美国经济学家认为美联储的加息幅度更小,在2月份的会议上加息25个基点,3月份不再加息,联邦基金利率的峰值为4.625%。由于加息可能放缓的前景,金价大幅上涨。通胀数据向市场表明,美联储一直以来的加息措施正在发挥作用,他们可能不需要在本周或未来几个月内那么激进地加息。数据公布后,美元跌幅超过1%,达到近六个月低点,使黄金对其他货币持有者的价格降低。美国10年期国债收益率也出现下滑。本交易日市场目光聚焦北京时间周四(12月15日)凌晨3:00的美联储利率决议。整体来看,基本面和技术面偏向多头,金价有望延续涨势。
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