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从表面上看,美国民主党和共和党在债务上限问题上吵得不可开交。实际上,债务上限继续提高是板上钉钉的事情,只不过两党何时达成一致意见无法准确判断。另外,31.4万亿美元的国债都需要用美元来偿付,而美联储具有印钞权。极端情况下,美联储一定会无上限印钞以避免白宫出现实质性违约,这是其必然的选择。美联储无限制印钞之后,美元指数必定大跌,美元作为霸权货币的地位也将遭到动摇。但是,只要民主党和共和党达成上调债务上限的协议,这种极端风险就不会出现。

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