上周分析过，杰克逊霍尔年会上鲍威尔的讲话，预计偏向鸽派的可能性较低，偏向支撑美元走高，进而压制金价走势。但鲍威尔讲话后，市场可能会迎来获利了结，金价可能会短暂下跌后延续反弹走势，有望给金价提供上涨机会。目前市场已经在验证。
从日线技术图来看，金价似乎完成最近的下行通道，向上突破。幅图指标似乎也即将呈现金叉，表明黄金市场当前情绪从看跌转为看涨。进一步反弹的话，黄金多头将反弹走势延伸向1945-1948美元区域。另一方面，金价近期多个交易日的反弹都受限于斐波那契数列61.8%阻力位，如果黄金难以突破该阻力1924美元附近水平的话，将削弱黄金的反弹动能，继而陷入此前形成的下行通道内。
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