从基本面上看,上个月美元区数据虽然给黄金提供了一些支撑,但是鲍威尔在年会上的态度还是比较鹰派的,强调了离2%的通胀目标还远,利率有可能再次上升或者保持高位一段时间,而且美元的这波加息操作对全球经济的搜刮没有达到预期的效果,美元暂时还会保持强势的预期,至少到年底或者明年初,金砖国的扩容扩大了抗击美元的力度,而且金砖国的货币建立大概率会以黄金为参照,这给黄金也提供了一定的支撑,但是在未明确之前,黄金还会保持一段时间的弱势.
从技术面上看,黄金完成了一波日线级别的5浪结构,目前处于调整浪形态的C浪中,5A与B(C)还没有形成明显的背离形态,结合基本面,C的大概位置在1947-1972之间结束.
个人观点,仅供参考!
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