劳动力市场的紧张状态也进一步强化了市场对经济稳健增长的预期，这支持了经济“软着陆”的情景。因此，市场普遍认为，首次降息的预期时间可能会推迟。
根据芝商所FedWatch工具的最新数据，美联储在6月份启动宽松周期的可能性已大幅下降至约16%，而对9月份进行首次降息的预期则大幅上升至65%以上。
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