KCM Trade——黄金原油行情分析 2024年05月31日
美元指数冲高回落,美债收益率高位吞没形态,同时纳斯达克指数也是高位回落,进入同步共振阶段,因此在月线收线阶段关注美债收益率是否存在见顶的可能性 从而支撑美联储降息预期进一步走强,金价方面二次回踩之后继续走高,结构上维持收敛震荡,等待压力测试为主,美原油方面API库存数据超预期下行,但并未能改变油价短期区间结构,日内等待企稳为主
XAUUSD 黄金
黄金二次回踩之后再次反弹结构上存在进一步走强的可能性,而基本面上美元指数冲高回落,美债收益率同步下行,继续留意美国PCE物价指数是否施压美元进一步走低,从而支撑金价走强,日线级别多空分水岭2300,上方压力2380
USOIL 美原油
美原油冲高回落,吞没此前涨幅,尽管库存数据下行,同时需求预期提升但市场风险偏好下行,不利油价走高,短期维持箱体震荡对待,日线级别支撑75美元,日内压力81美元
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