产品:XAU/USD
预测:上升
基本分析:
黄金(XAU/USD)价格略低,交易价格约为$2310,因为积极的市场情绪对避险资产构成压力。尽管有调查显示2024年央行对黄金需求强劲预期,但由于风险偏好情绪高涨,股票创下新高以及对美国降息的预期,这对无收益的黄金不利。然而,调查表明央行将黄金视为长期价值储存和对冲通胀的工具,表明未来需求强劲,可能支撑金价。
技术分析:
金价在日线图上形成一个看跌的头肩顶形态,通常预示趋势变化。该形态有左右“肩”和中间的“头”,颈线支撑位在$2279。相对强弱指数(RSI)显示的动能下降支持看跌前景。如果价格跌破颈线,将确认该形态并暗示进一步下跌,目标分别为$2171和$2106。然而,如果价格上升至$2345以上,将使头肩顶形态存疑,并可能表明上升趋势的延续,初步目标为$2450高点。
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