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美股整体表现强势,微观上TSLA的F2Q销量超过预期,也推动了一般消费品部门的增长。UST整体下行,曲线有所平缓。原油也有一定回落,但是对其余商品的带动是相对有限的。 数据面上,昨天EU通胀数据平稳回落,符合预期,US这边JOLTs814万个,有所超预期,就业的放缓也一定程度上继续推动情绪。此外,在央行论坛的讨论中,JPow的讲话中提到通胀取得“重大进展”,但决策者在降息前需要更多数据来验证近期通胀率下降是否准确反映了经济状况。虽重申尚未准备好降息,但被市场解读为比较乐观的鸽派言论。市场短期对于MP预期的交易权重又有所增加 消息面上昨天没有太多新增项,据路透调查美国三分之一的民主党人认为拜登应退出竞选,不过这个概率是很低的,一个是民主党目前也没有合适的人选,二是按照法律Biden竞选筹备的资金让其他人继承的,退选等于直接前功尽弃

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