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AUDUSD H4 澳元目前已经回到了近半年来的最高位,美国的经济升速放缓,导致美元的下行。截至今早根据CME提供的数据显示,市场认为美联储在9月维持利率不变的可能性仅剩27.4%,11月维持不变的可能性仅剩17.4%。而周三澳洲公布的澳洲5月零售销售较前月增长0.6%,这一增幅超过4月的增长0.1%以及分析师预期的增长0.2%。市场认为如果本月月底公布的6月澳洲季调后零售销售月率强劲,通胀预期继续高于预期,则澳联储很可能会在8月选择加息。 技术面上澳美目前短线已经走破了之前过去7周的震荡区间,目前在近半年内的高位0.673附近,谨防破位创新高或区间高位回落行情。今晚澳东事件22:30会有美国的大非农就业数据公布,短线会对澳元走势有极大影响。 上方一线阻力0.673,二线阻力0.675,三线阻力0.677. 下方一线支撑0.670,二线支撑0.668,三线支撑0.666.

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