AUDUSD H1
目前市场给到的对美联储9月的降息已经到了百分之百，不过澳联储的的预期极大可能维持当前利率至明年的娣一季度。两边的利率前景预期的分化，为澳元提供了主要的支撑。尽管现在市场仍然存在澳联储可能会在8月加息的可能性，不过市场依然在观望本周四的澳洲劳动力市场数据公布，以及月底的6月CPI数据和第二季度CPI数据公布。这两个数据可能会给澳联储的决策带来更多的参考。
技术面上，美元在104企稳，带动澳元的下行，澳元跌破了短期的上涨趋势线，结束了九连阳，昨日收跌，行情趋势开始走缓，符合昨日的预期。不过澳元目前仍然下方有一个过去八个交易日的趋势线支撑，短期趋势可能从急涨转变为震荡。今晚有美国6月零售销售数据公布，短线对澳元可能有极大影响。
上方一线阻力0.676，二线阻力0.677，三线阻力0.678.
下方一线支撑0.675，二线支撑0.673，三线支撑0.672.
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