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AUDUSD H4 围绕美国可能对中国实施贸易限制的担忧,以及日元反弹后的卖盘,都影响了澳元的多头情绪。尽管澳洲就业市场数据本应提振澳元,不过市场的反应是克制的,期货暗示澳联储在 8 月份的会议上加息的可能性只有 20%。但是数据未能给到澳元推升的动力。再加上当日美元全面较强的反弹,美元的上行至104.4,继续压制着澳元。拜登退选令避险情绪升温,然而本周公布的美国GDP和PCE数据,澳元可能再获得极大的波动。 技术面上,澳元上周单周的跌幅已经吞没了过去两周的上涨,最后收盘时候收到了六月最后一周的高位0.668附近,为之前波动8周的第二个支撑平台,重点关注澳元在0.668的支撑作用,若继续下破,澳元可能回归0.668-0.664之间的区间波动,若0.668支撑有效,澳元可能继续维持在0.668-0.671区间。 上方一线阻力0.670,二线阻力0.671,三线阻力0.673. 下方一线支撑0.668,二线支撑0.666,三线支撑0.664.

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