基本面上,因市场等待美国6月PCE数据公布,美元指数维持区间震荡,金价继续走技术回调模式。以及美国第二季度GDP超预期和交易员获利了结的影响而再度走低。
但由于美国第二季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率初值及美国6月耐用品订单月率明显弱于前值,将会限制GDP的利空压力,同时也暗示晚间6月核心PCE将表现走弱,而会提振金价止跌反弹,同时,技术也展现出了触低信号,所以,关注美盘时段低点以及下周初的时间周期,将可转看涨反弹。
并且,市场已完全定价美联储9月降息,前纽约联储主席杜德利也表示其改变了自己长期以来一直站在“更长时间维持利率高位”的阵营,并转变成美联储应该降息,最好下周利率会议上就开始的观点。这也是为9月或9月后的看涨攀升创造入场机会。
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