产品:USD/JPY
预测:上升
基本分析:
美元/日元继续受到外部因素的影响,包括日元套利交易的解除。尽管日本央行(BoJ)采取了强硬立 场,表示未来几个月将提高利率,但市场最近几天已减少了对加息的预期。隐含利率现在预计将逐 步上升,政策利率预计在一年后约为50个基点。这种市场预期的转变,从更激进的日本央行紧缩政 策转向,使得美元/日元在周一跌至142后得以稳定。然而,周二,日本央行副行长内田真一撤回了行 长上田所发表的一些更强硬的言论,帮助市场稳定。
技术分析:
美元/日元价格测试了关键支撑位145.35,并从该处反弹,从而保持了未来一段时间的看涨趋势预期 ,下一目标位是148.53。上述水平对于确定短期趋势非常重要,突破该目标将延续看涨走势,实现更 多的收益,达到151.10水平,而跌破支撑位将成为推低价格的负面因素,最初目标位在142.90水平。 今日预期的交易区间在145.50支撑位和147.50阻力位之间。
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